Fed decision in January?
No change
94%
25 bps decrease
5%
+2 more outcomes
$342m Vol.
US strikes Iran by...?
June 30
68%
March 31
62%
+11 more outcomes
$40m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Yes
20%
$27m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
41%
Kevin Hassett
36%
+23 more outcomes
$185m Vol.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
34%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
+41 more outcomes
$476m Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in January?
↑ 95,000
100%
↑ 90,000
100%
+18 more outcomes
$32m Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
52%
Marco Rubio
16%
+29 more outcomes
$183m Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
27%
Gavin Newsom
19%
+28 more outcomes
$187m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 9 - January 16, 2026?
520-539
24%
500-519
23%
+28 more outcomes
$10m Vol.
Knicks vs. Kings
Knicks
80%
1H Moneyline
75%
+40 more outcomes
$3m Vol.
US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by January 31
39%
January 15
17%
+19 more outcomes
$3m Vol.
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
41%
Denver Nuggets
10%
+28 more outcomes
$158m Vol.
Wizards vs. Clippers
O/U 223.5
57%
O/U 224.5
55%
+41 more outcomes
$2m Vol.
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
Jalen Pickett: Assists Over 4.5
52%
Brandon Williams: Assists Over 3.5
52%
+40 more outcomes
$2m Vol.
Portugal Presidential Election
António José Seguro (IND)
66%
João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
18%
+20 more outcomes
$102m Vol.
English Premier League Winner
Arsenal
76%
Man City
20%
+18 more outcomes
$168m Vol.
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Seattle
24%
Los Angeles R
21%
+30 more outcomes
$674m Vol.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
England
14%
+41 more outcomes
$66m Vol.
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes
39%
$9m Vol.
La Liga Winner
Barcelona
68%
Real Madrid
30%
+18 more outcomes
$56m Vol.
What price will Ethereum hit in January?
↑ 3,400
100%
↑ 3,200
100%
+17 more outcomes
$8m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 13 - January 20, 2026?
500-519
12%
520-539
11%
+36 more outcomes
$6m Vol.
Bitcoin above ___ on January 15?
80,000
100%
82,000
100%
+9 more outcomes
$2m Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit January 12-18?
↑ 96,000
100%
↑ 94,000
100%
+12 more outcomes
$3m Vol.
UEFA Champions League Winner
Arsenal
18%
Bayern Munich
17%
+37 more outcomes
$175m Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Yes
12%
$5m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?
500-519
11%
460-479
10%
+36 more outcomes
$2m Vol.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes
42%
$5m Vol.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes
18%
$8m Vol.
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Yes
1%
$2m Vol.