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    Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

    other
    $184.86MVol.Dec 31, 2026
    OUTCOME
    % CHANCE
    Kevin Warsh
    $5.02M Vol.
    40%
    ▼ 3%
    Kevin Hassett
    $9.28M Vol.
    36%
    Christopher Waller
    $4.00M Vol.
    9%
    ▼ 0%
    Rick Rieder
    $3.68M Vol.
    9%
    Judy Shelton
    $4.54M Vol.
    2%
    Stephen Miran
    $3.68M Vol.
    2%
    ▲ 4%
    Scott Bessent
    $4.32M Vol.
    2%
    Michelle Bowman
    $3.68M Vol.
    1%
    Bill Pulte
    $21.77M Vol.
    0%
    ▼ 1%
    David Malpass
    $3.12M Vol.
    0%
    Howard Lutnick
    $1.84M Vol.
    0%
    Arthur Laffer
    $10.02M Vol.
    0%
    Larry Kudlow
    $9.90M Vol.
    0%
    Jerome Powell
    $4.81M Vol.
    0%
    Ron Paul
    $11.02M Vol.
    0%
    James Bullard
    $1.99M Vol.
    0%
    Marc Sumerlin
    $2.93M Vol.
    0%
    David Zervos
    $2.72M Vol.
    0%
    Lorie K. Logan
    $1.96M Vol.
    0%
    Philip Jefferson
    $5.15M Vol.
    0%
    Janet Yellen
    $20.57M Vol.
    0%
    Larry Lindsey
    $5.52M Vol.
    0%
    ▼ 1%
    Barron Trump
    $18.39M Vol.
    0%
    Donald Trump
    $22.45M Vol.
    0%
    No one nominated before 2027
    $2.50M Vol.
    0%

    Market Context

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    Rules

    This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Fo...

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