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    US strikes Iran by...?

    other
    $40.76MVol.Jun 30, 2026
    OUTCOME
    % CHANCE
    June 30
    $955K Vol.
    73%
    March 31
    $1.53M Vol.
    72%
    ▼ 0%
    January 31
    $8.91M Vol.
    59%
    January 23
    $995K Vol.
    49%
    ▼ 3%
    January 18
    $807K Vol.
    41%
    January 17
    $597K Vol.
    35%
    January 16
    $4.33M Vol.
    30%
    January 15
    $2.90M Vol.
    17%
    January 14
    $11.60M Vol.
    2%

    Market Context

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    Rules

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the li...

    Comments

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