Next leader out of power before 2027?
other
$1.50MVol.Dec 31, 2026OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$82K Vol.
47%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$58K Vol.
22%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$68K Vol.
6%
Lecornu - France PM
$55K Vol.
4%
▼ 2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$49K Vol.
4%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$51K Vol.
2%
Starmer - UK PM
$49K Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$50K Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$48K Vol.
1%
▼ 0%
Trump - USA President
$74K Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$70K Vol.
1%
▲ 2%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$51K Vol.
1%
▼ 2%
None before 2027
$55K Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$64K Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$67K Vol.
0%
Albanese - Australia PM
$75K Vol.
0%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$53K Vol.
0%
▼ 1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$49K Vol.
0%
▲ 3%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$50K Vol.
0%
Macron - France President
$37K Vol.
0%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$52K Vol.
0%
Putin - Russia President
$57K Vol.
0%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$44K Vol.
0%
Petro - Colombia President
$55K Vol.
0%
Newsom - California Governor
$52K Vol.
0%
▼ 2%
Milei - Argentina President
$48K Vol.
0%
Merz - German Chancellor
$42K Vol.
0%
Market Context
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Rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome ...