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    Next leader out of power before 2027?

    other
    $1.50MVol.Dec 31, 2026
    OUTCOME
    % CHANCE
    Schoof - Netherlands PM
    $82K Vol.
    47%
    Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
    $58K Vol.
    22%
    Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
    $68K Vol.
    6%
    Lecornu - France PM
    $55K Vol.
    4%
    ▼ 2%
    Takaichi - Japan PM
    $49K Vol.
    4%
    Erdoğan - Türkiye President
    $51K Vol.
    2%
    Starmer - UK PM
    $49K Vol.
    1%
    Abbas - President of Palestine
    $50K Vol.
    1%
    Netanyahu - Israel PM
    $48K Vol.
    1%
    ▼ 0%
    Trump - USA President
    $74K Vol.
    1%
    Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
    $70K Vol.
    1%
    ▲ 2%
    Orbán - Hungary PM
    $51K Vol.
    1%
    ▼ 2%
    None before 2027
    $55K Vol.
    1%
    Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
    $64K Vol.
    1%
    Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
    $67K Vol.
    0%
    Albanese - Australia PM
    $75K Vol.
    0%
    Sheinbaum - Mexico President
    $53K Vol.
    0%
    ▼ 1%
    al-Sharaa - Syria President
    $49K Vol.
    0%
    ▲ 3%
    Sánchez - Spanish PM
    $50K Vol.
    0%
    Macron - France President
    $37K Vol.
    0%
    Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
    $52K Vol.
    0%
    Putin - Russia President
    $57K Vol.
    0%
    Lula da Silva - Brazil President
    $44K Vol.
    0%
    Petro - Colombia President
    $55K Vol.
    0%
    Newsom - California Governor
    $52K Vol.
    0%
    ▼ 2%
    Milei - Argentina President
    $48K Vol.
    0%
    Merz - German Chancellor
    $42K Vol.
    0%

    Market Context

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    Rules

    This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome ...

    Comments

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